Правильная ссылка на статью:
Ф.Ф Штибляр.
Balkans – growth, stability, the impact of
financial crisis and integration
to the world
// Тренды и управление. – 2013. – № 2.
– С. 241-255.
DOI: 10.7256/2307-9118.2013.2.9005.
рубрика Тренды экономического развития современного мира
DOI: 10.7256/2307-9118.2013.2.9005
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Аннотация: Balkan peninsula is treated as a special case: as powder keg of Europe and the term
“balkanization” has negative connotation. Events of last twenty years did not disappoint such
terminology, both within Balkan and outside. There was collapse of socialist economies, disintegration
of socialist Yugoslavia with not optimal political solutions. External conditions such as an ailing EU,
political turmoil in Near East had negative influences on Balkans. The aim of this article is to investigate
what has happened with Balkan economies in the last twenty years. In particular, the author focuses
on the consideration of the long term trends in economic growth and its stability (is catching-up to
developed Europe taking place?); on the impact of global financial crisis on Balkans (was Balkans with
less developed financial structure insulated from negative consequences of global financial crisis?); and
on the success in integration of Balkan economies to the globalizing world (is Balkans still “an isolated
island” in the world of progress?). Basic criteria for a selection of analyzed countries is geographical
position of country in Balkans. Thus, 11 Balkan countries are analyzed (Cyprus is not included). The
quality of macroeconomic performance and long term development strategy used is measured by
dynamic of GDP growth, the stability of growth in period 1991-2010 and resistance to the effects of
global financial crisis. The first part includes two indicators of welfare: growth and stability, the second
includes the effects of creation of bubble in period 2005-2008 and its bursting in after that.
Ключевые слова: financial bubble, integration, economy, analysis, macroeconomic, balkanization, Balkan, dynamics, Eurozone, global financial crisis
Контактная информация: Штибляр Франьо, Школы права Университета Любляны (School of Law); Poljanski nasip 2, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia.
Библиография:
1. Stiblar F.: The Balkan Conflict and Its Solutions, Manet, School of Law, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia, 2007
2. Stiblar F.: The Impact of Global Crisis on Montenegro and the Western Balkans, CBCG, Podgorica, 2009
3. Lin J.Y.: demystifying Chinese Economy, Princeton press, 2011
4. Balkan Monitor, Belgrade, Several issues
5. The EU Enlargement Progress Report, Brussels, November 2011
6. The EBRD Transition Report 2011, London November 2011
7. The IMF World Economic Outlook 2011 and Supplement 2012; Washington DC, October 2011 and January 2012
8. The LINK World Economic Assessment, UN and University of Toronto, Fall 2011
9. The World Bank data set, 2011
10. Sinitsina, M. L. Anti-Crisis Measures in the EU: Analysis of Modern Financial Reforms // . - 2012. - 8. - C. 64 - 80.
11. Sarkisov, A. K. Russian State Corporation ‘Bank for Development and Foreign Economic Affairs’ and its Role in Regulation of Consequences of the World Financial Crisis // . - 2010. - 4. - C. 80 - 86.
12. Galieva, G.F. Macro-economic prerequisites and factors of development of innovation economy. // . - 2011. - 6. - C. 78 - 83.
13. Zaripova, A.T. Comparative analysis of the CSTO, EPDS: use of the experience of the European integration to the integration studies in the post-Soviet territory. // . - 2011. - 3. - C. 114 - 121.
References (transliteration):
1. Stiblar F.: The Balkan Conflict and Its Solutions, Manet, School of Law, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia, 2007
2. Stiblar F.: The Impact of Global Crisis on Montenegro and the Western Balkans, CBCG, Podgorica, 2009
3. Lin J.Y.: demystifying Chinese Economy, Princeton press, 2011
4. Balkan Monitor, Belgrade, Several issues
5. The EU Enlargement Progress Report, Brussels, November 2011
6. The EBRD Transition Report 2011, London November 2011
7. The IMF World Economic Outlook 2011 and Supplement 2012; Washington DC, October 2011 and January 2012
8. The LINK World Economic Assessment, UN and University of Toronto, Fall 2011
9. The World Bank data set, 2011
10. Sinitsina, M. L. Anti-Crisis Measures in the EU: Analysis of Modern Financial Reforms // . - 2012. - 8. - C. 64 - 80.
11. Sarkisov, A. K. Russian State Corporation ‘Bank for Development and Foreign Economic Affairs’ and its Role in Regulation of Consequences of the World Financial Crisis // . - 2010. - 4. - C. 80 - 86.
12. Galieva, G.F. Macro-economic prerequisites and factors of development of innovation economy. // . - 2011. - 6. - C. 78 - 83.
13. Zaripova, A.T. Comparative analysis of the CSTO, EPDS: use of the experience of the European integration to the integration studies in the post-Soviet territory. // . - 2011. - 3. - C. 114 - 121.
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