Аннотация: The cooperation potential of the relations between two great powers (especially having a common border) is
significantly smaller than the potential of rivalry because of the existing objective conflicts between them. The immanent
feature of the great powers’ foreign policy is an aspiration for strengthening of their influence in the world; therefore, they
pay special attention to the regions which are important for their strategic interests realization. The author of this research
attempts to describe the problem of cooperation and rivalry between Moscow and Beijing, which is of a big importance
both for the alignment of forces in the region, and for the Russian-Chinese relations. Nowadays the Russian Federation and
the People’s Republic of China demonstrate “strategic partnership” in their relations, but the potential and real elements of
tension have not disappeared, and the probability of conflicts between them is directly proportional to the process of Russia’s
role weakening in the region and the permanently strengthening position of China in Central Asia. The Russian-Chinese
cooperation and rivalry exist in several spheres – security, economics, politics, and the social-cultural sphere. In all these
spheres Moscow and Beijing are united by strong connections with the region both in bilateral and multilateral dimensions.
Russia and China pay special attention to the security and economic and energy cooperation. The article analyzes the model
of cooperation and rivalry in the Russian-Chinese relations in the region in these two dimensions.
Ключевые слова: international relations, foreign policy, China, Russia, Central Asia, cooperation, rivalry, national security, interests,
energy cooperation.
Библиография:
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Lukin A. Rossiya i Kitay segodnya i zavtra, [v:] Rossiya i Kitay. Chetyre veka vzaimodeystviya. Moskva, 2013.
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Olcott M.B., Udalova N. Drug Trafficking on the Great Silk Road: Security Environment in Central Asia // Working Paper. № 11. Washington, 2000;
Lubin N., Klaits A., Barsegian I. Narcotic Interdiction in Afganistan and Central Asia: Challenges for International Assistance. New York, 2002.
Czarkowska E. Rola elit władzy w kształtowaniu stosunków z Chinami // Przywództwo i elity polityczne w krajach WNP. Tom II. T. Bodio, W. Jakubowski (red.). Warszawa, 2010. S. 190.
Lachowki Z. Foreign Military Bases in Eurasia // SIPRI Policy Paper. 2007 (June). № 18. R. 47;
Luzyanin S.G. Politika Rossii i Kitaya v „klassicheskoy” Tsentral'noy Azii i formirovanie ikh obnovlennogo imidzha v regione // Kitay v mirovoy i regional'noy politike. Istoriya i sovremennost'. Vypusk XIV. M., 2009. S. 89-91.
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Syroezhkin K.L. Problemy sovremennogo Kitaya i bezopasnost' v Tsentral'noy Azii. Almaty, 2006.
Sutter R.G. Chinese Foreign Relations. Power and Policy Since the Cold War// Lanham, 2010.
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Bailes A.J.K., Dunay P., Troitskiy M. The Shnaghai Cooperation Organization. Stockholm, 2007;
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Kuchins A. Russian Perspectives on China: Strategic Ambivalence // The Future of China-Russia Relations. J. Bellacqua (ed.). University Press of Kentucky, 2010.
Cheng J. Y. S. Chinese Perceptions of Russian Foreign Policy During the Putin Administration: U.S.-Russia Relations and “Strategic Triangle” Considerations // Journal of Current Chinese Affairs. 2009. Vol. 38. № 2. R. 155.
Vasil'ev L. Problemy bezopasnosti v Tsentral'noy Azii: bor'ba s terrorizmom, separatizmom i ekstremizmom v formate ShOS // Shankhayskaya Organizatsiya Sotrudnichestva. K novym rubezham razvitiya. M., 2008.
Weitz R. The Limits of Partnership: China, NATO and the Afghan War // China Security. 2010. Issue 16. R. 21-38;
Guang Pan. China’s Policy on the Conflict in Afghanistan // China and Eurasia Forum Quarterly. 2010. Vol. 8. № 3. R. 115-120.
Osnovnye dokumenty i materialy po Shankhayskoy Organizatsii Sotrudnichestva (Iyul' 2001-fevral' 2005). M., 2005. S. 28-40.
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Gleason G. The Uzbek Expultion of U.S. Forces and Realignment in Central Asia // Problems of Post-Communism. Vol. 53. № 2. 2006. R. 49-60.
Oldberg I. The War on Terrorism in Russian Foreign Policy. Stockholm, 2006.
Haliżak E. Polityka i strategia Chin w kształtowaniu międzynarodowego bezpieczeństwa // Żurawia Papers. Zeszyt 10. Warszawa 2007. S. 87;
Bondarenko V. Sin'tszyan-Uygurskiy avtonomnyy rayon Kitaya v nachale XXI veka. M., 2011.
Bovingdon G. Autonomy in Xinjiang: Han Nationalist Imperatives and Uyghur Disconent // East-West Center Policy Studies. № 11. Washington, 2004;
Xinjiang: China’s Muslim Borderland. S.F. Starr (ed.). Armonk, New York, 2004;
Clarke M. China’s Integration of Xinjiang with Central Asia: Securing a „Silk Road” to Great Power Status? // China and Eurasia Forum Quarterly. 2008. Vol. 6. № 2. R. 89-111.
Counter-Terrorism and Human Rights: The Impact of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Hong Kong – New York, 2011. R. 127-212; http://www.ecrats.com/ru/normative_documents/2172[26.07.2010].
Zhu Zhiqun. China’s New Diplomacy: Rationale, Strategies, and Significance. Ashgate, 2010.
Paramonov V., Stolpovski O. Russia and Central Asia: Multilateral Security Cooperation. Defence Academy of The United Kingdom. March 2008;
Nikitina Ya.A. ODKB i ShOS: modeli regionalizma v sfere bezopasnosti. M., 2009.
Zhukov S.V., Reznikova O.B. Tsentral'naya Aziya i Kitay: ekonomicheskoe vzaimodeystvie v usloviyakh globalizatsii. M., 2009.
Graham T. The Sources of Russia’s Insecurity // Survival. 2010. Vol. 52. № 1. R. 63.
Ziegler Ch.E. Russia and China in Central Asia // The Future of China-Russia Relations. James’a Bellacqua (ed.). Kentucky, 2010. R. 252-253.
Haliżak E. Op. cit. S. 124; Zhukov S.V., Reznikova O.B. Tsit. proizv. S. 86-90.
Chow E.C., Hendrix L.E. Central Asia’s Pipelines: Field of Dreams and Reality // NBR Special Raport. (September) 2010. № 23. R. 36;
Guan Pan. China and Energy Security in Central Asia // Central Asia and Caucasus. 2007. Vol. 48. № 6. R. 85-91;
Matveev V. China’s Gas Policy in Central Asia // Central Asia and Caucasus. 2008. Vol. 53. № 5. R. 77-88.
Zweig D., Jianhai Bi. China’s Global Hunt for Energy // Foreign Affairs.(September/October) 2005. Vol. 84. № 5. R. 25-38.
Garrison J.A. China and The Energy Equation in Asia: The Determinants of Policy Choice. Boulder, London, 2009.
Gleason G. China, Russia, and Central Asia: Triangular Energy Politics // China’s Energy Relations with the Developing World. C. Liu i M. Dorraja (eds.). New York, London, 2011. R. 86.
Castes R. China’s oil and gas supply strategy in its Western Margins (Xinjiang and Central Asia) // Materialy mezhdunarodnoy konferentsii «Tsentral'naya Aziya–Kitay: sostoyanie i perspektivy sotrudnichestva». Almaty, 2008. S. 104-105.
Blank S. China’s Emerging Energy Nexus with Central Asia // China Brief. Vol. 6. 2006. № 15.
Olkott M. Vtoroy shans Tsentral'noy Azii. Moskva – Vashington, 2005; Sotrudnichestvo i bezopasnost' v Tsentral'noy Azii v usloviyakh politicheskoy i sotsial'no-ekonomicheskoy transformatsii. Almaty, 2007.
«Energeticheskaya strategiya Rossii na period do 2030 goda», prinyataya pravitel'stvom 13 noyabrya 2009 g. // http://www.minenergo .gov.ru [20.12.2009]
lank S. The Strategic Implications of the Turkmenistan – China Pipeline Project // China Brief. 2010 (February 4). Vol. 10. № 3. R. 10-12.
Christofferson G. Multiple Levels of Sino-Russian Energy Relations // Eurasia’s Ascent in Energy and Geopolitics. Rivalry or Partnership for China, Russia and Central Asia? N. Swanstrom, R.E. Badeski (eds.). London – New York, 2012. R. 135-159.
Shambaugh D. China Engages Asia. Reshaping the Regional Order // International Security. 2004/05 (Winter). Vol. 29. № 3. R. 74;
Chung Chien-peng. The Shanghai Co-operation Organization:China’s Changing Influence in Central Asia // The China Quarterly. 2004. Vol. 180. R. 1007-1008.
Oldberg I. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization: Powerhouse or Paper Tiger? Stockholm, 2007. R. 28.
Manoylo A.V. Rol' strategiy upravlyaemogo khaosa v formirovanii novogo miroporyadka // Pravo i politika. – 2014. – № 5. – S. 638-651. DOI: 10.7256/1811-9018.2014.5.11816.
Manoylo A.V. Ukrainskiy krizis i «upravlyaemyy khaos»: sled «tsvetnykh revolyutsiy» Arabskoy Vesny. // Vlast'. 2014. №4. S. 24-28.
Manoylo A.V. Uregulirovanie i razreshenie mezhdunarodnykh konfliktov. //Mir i Politika. 2013. №10. S. 130-140.
Manoylo A.V. Spetsifika tsvetnykh revolyutsiy «arabskoy vesny». // Izvestiya Ural'sk. Federal'nogo Un-ta. Ser. 3. Obshchestvennye nauki. 2013. №3. S. 30-36.
Manoylo A.V. Geopoliticheskaya kartina sovremennogo mira. //Natsional'naya bezopasnost'/nota bene.-2013.-№5. – S. 149-155.
Kondakov S.A. Energeticheskaya strategiya Rossii na prostranstve SNG // Trendy i upravlenie. - 2013. - 3. - C. 108 - 115. DOI: 10.7256/2307-9118.2013.3.5274.
S. A. Sidorov Kontseptsiya natsional'noy bezopasnosti KNR
v kontekste mezhdunarodnoy i natsional'noy
bezopasnosti Rossii. // Pravo i politika. - 2011. - 9. - C. 1514 - 1524.
S. A. Nikolaev Politika SShA v Tsentral'noy Azii // Natsional'naya bezopasnost' / nota bene. - 2011. - 4. - C. 43 - 53.
S. A. Nikolaev Protivodeystvie vyzovam i ugrozam
mezhdunarodnoy i regional'noy
bezopasnosti v Tsentral'noy Azii // Natsional'naya bezopasnost' / nota bene. - 2011. - 6. - C. 46 - 54.
Kostyukhin A.A. Zapadnaya ekspertnaya otsenka vozmozhnostey
i perspektiv voennogo sotrudnichestva
s gosudarstvami Tsentral'noy Azii // Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. - 2013. - 1. - C. 55 - 79. DOI: 10.7256/2305-560X.2013.01.8.
S. A. Nikolaev Politika Rossii v Tsentral'no-Aziatskom regione // Natsional'naya bezopasnost' / nota bene. - 2011. - 5. - C. 15 - 24.
Karpovich O.G. Afganistan — 2014
vo vneshnepoliticheskoy strategii
SShA i Kanady // Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. - 2013. - 4. - C. 510 - 512. DOI: 10.7256/2305-560X.2013.4.7305.
O.G. Karpovich Osobennosti pozitsiy rossiyskikh
i amerikanskikh ekspertov po voprosam
demokratizatsii Blizhnego Vostoka // Politika i Obshchestvo. - 2013. - 5. - C. 563 - 567. DOI: 10.7256/1812-8696.2013.05.4.
References (transliteration):
Medeiros E.S. China’s International Behavior, Activism, Opportunism and Diversification. Santa Monica, 2009. P. 82-83
Lo Bobo. Axis of Convenience Moscow, Beijing, and The New Geopolitics. London, 2008.
Lukin A. Rossiya i Kitay segodnya i zavtra, [v:] Rossiya i Kitay. Chetyre veka vzaimodeystviya. Moskva, 2013.
Burles M. Chinese Policy Toward Russia and the Central Asian Republics. Santa Monica, 1999. R. 8-11.
Luzyanin S.G. Rossiya i Kitay v Evrazii. Mezhdunarodno-regional'nye izmereniya rossiysko-kitayskogo partnerstva. M., 2009.
Bosbotinis J. Sustaining the Dragon, Dodging the Eagle and Barring theBear? Assessing the Role and Importance of Central Asia in Chinese National Strategy // China and Eurasia Forum. Quarterly, 2010. Vol. 8. № 1. R. 68.
Olcott M.B., Udalova N. Drug Trafficking on the Great Silk Road: Security Environment in Central Asia // Working Paper. № 11. Washington, 2000;
Lubin N., Klaits A., Barsegian I. Narcotic Interdiction in Afganistan and Central Asia: Challenges for International Assistance. New York, 2002.
Czarkowska E. Rola elit władzy w kształtowaniu stosunków z Chinami // Przywództwo i elity polityczne w krajach WNP. Tom II. T. Bodio, W. Jakubowski (red.). Warszawa, 2010. S. 190.
Lachowki Z. Foreign Military Bases in Eurasia // SIPRI Policy Paper. 2007 (June). № 18. R. 47;
Luzyanin S.G. Politika Rossii i Kitaya v „klassicheskoy” Tsentral'noy Azii i formirovanie ikh obnovlennogo imidzha v regione // Kitay v mirovoy i regional'noy politike. Istoriya i sovremennost'. Vypusk XIV. M., 2009. S. 89-91.
Roy D. China’s Reaction to American Predominance // Survival. 2003 (Autumn). Vol. 45. Issue 3. P. 57-78.
Syroezhkin K.L. Problemy sovremennogo Kitaya i bezopasnost' v Tsentral'noy Azii. Almaty, 2006.
Sutter R.G. Chinese Foreign Relations. Power and Policy Since the Cold War// Lanham, 2010.
Fei Gao. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization and China’s New Diplomacy. Antwerp, 2010;
Bailes A.J.K., Dunay P., Troitskiy M. The Shnaghai Cooperation Organization. Stockholm, 2007;
Chzhao Khuashen. Kitay, Tsentral'naya Aziya i Shankhayskaya Organizatsiya Sotrudnichestva // Rabochie materialy. № 5. M., 2005.
Trenin D. Contemporaty Issues in International Security: Central Asia // Central Asian Security Trends : View from Europe and Russia, Strategic Studies Institute [US Army War College]. S. Blank (ed.). 2011. R. 44;
Kuchins A. Russian Perspectives on China: Strategic Ambivalence // The Future of China-Russia Relations. J. Bellacqua (ed.). University Press of Kentucky, 2010.
Cheng J. Y. S. Chinese Perceptions of Russian Foreign Policy During the Putin Administration: U.S.-Russia Relations and “Strategic Triangle” Considerations // Journal of Current Chinese Affairs. 2009. Vol. 38. № 2. R. 155.
Vasil'ev L. Problemy bezopasnosti v Tsentral'noy Azii: bor'ba s terrorizmom, separatizmom i ekstremizmom v formate ShOS // Shankhayskaya Organizatsiya Sotrudnichestva. K novym rubezham razvitiya. M., 2008.
Weitz R. The Limits of Partnership: China, NATO and the Afghan War // China Security. 2010. Issue 16. R. 21-38;
Guang Pan. China’s Policy on the Conflict in Afghanistan // China and Eurasia Forum Quarterly. 2010. Vol. 8. № 3. R. 115-120.
Osnovnye dokumenty i materialy po Shankhayskoy Organizatsii Sotrudnichestva (Iyul' 2001-fevral' 2005). M., 2005. S. 28-40.
http://sectsco.org [15.06.2011].
Gleason G. The Uzbek Expultion of U.S. Forces and Realignment in Central Asia // Problems of Post-Communism. Vol. 53. № 2. 2006. R. 49-60.
Oldberg I. The War on Terrorism in Russian Foreign Policy. Stockholm, 2006.
Haliżak E. Polityka i strategia Chin w kształtowaniu międzynarodowego bezpieczeństwa // Żurawia Papers. Zeszyt 10. Warszawa 2007. S. 87;
Bondarenko V. Sin'tszyan-Uygurskiy avtonomnyy rayon Kitaya v nachale XXI veka. M., 2011.
Bovingdon G. Autonomy in Xinjiang: Han Nationalist Imperatives and Uyghur Disconent // East-West Center Policy Studies. № 11. Washington, 2004;
Xinjiang: China’s Muslim Borderland. S.F. Starr (ed.). Armonk, New York, 2004;
Clarke M. China’s Integration of Xinjiang with Central Asia: Securing a „Silk Road” to Great Power Status? // China and Eurasia Forum Quarterly. 2008. Vol. 6. № 2. R. 89-111.
Counter-Terrorism and Human Rights: The Impact of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Hong Kong – New York, 2011. R. 127-212; http://www.ecrats.com/ru/normative_documents/2172[26.07.2010].
Zhu Zhiqun. China’s New Diplomacy: Rationale, Strategies, and Significance. Ashgate, 2010.
Paramonov V., Stolpovski O. Russia and Central Asia: Multilateral Security Cooperation. Defence Academy of The United Kingdom. March 2008;
Nikitina Ya.A. ODKB i ShOS: modeli regionalizma v sfere bezopasnosti. M., 2009.
Zhukov S.V., Reznikova O.B. Tsentral'naya Aziya i Kitay: ekonomicheskoe vzaimodeystvie v usloviyakh globalizatsii. M., 2009.
Graham T. The Sources of Russia’s Insecurity // Survival. 2010. Vol. 52. № 1. R. 63.
Ziegler Ch.E. Russia and China in Central Asia // The Future of China-Russia Relations. James’a Bellacqua (ed.). Kentucky, 2010. R. 252-253.
Haliżak E. Op. cit. S. 124; Zhukov S.V., Reznikova O.B. Tsit. proizv. S. 86-90.
Chow E.C., Hendrix L.E. Central Asia’s Pipelines: Field of Dreams and Reality // NBR Special Raport. (September) 2010. № 23. R. 36;
Guan Pan. China and Energy Security in Central Asia // Central Asia and Caucasus. 2007. Vol. 48. № 6. R. 85-91;
Matveev V. China’s Gas Policy in Central Asia // Central Asia and Caucasus. 2008. Vol. 53. № 5. R. 77-88.
Zweig D., Jianhai Bi. China’s Global Hunt for Energy // Foreign Affairs.(September/October) 2005. Vol. 84. № 5. R. 25-38.
Garrison J.A. China and The Energy Equation in Asia: The Determinants of Policy Choice. Boulder, London, 2009.
Gleason G. China, Russia, and Central Asia: Triangular Energy Politics // China’s Energy Relations with the Developing World. C. Liu i M. Dorraja (eds.). New York, London, 2011. R. 86.
Castes R. China’s oil and gas supply strategy in its Western Margins (Xinjiang and Central Asia) // Materialy mezhdunarodnoy konferentsii «Tsentral'naya Aziya–Kitay: sostoyanie i perspektivy sotrudnichestva». Almaty, 2008. S. 104-105.
Blank S. China’s Emerging Energy Nexus with Central Asia // China Brief. Vol. 6. 2006. № 15.
Olkott M. Vtoroy shans Tsentral'noy Azii. Moskva – Vashington, 2005; Sotrudnichestvo i bezopasnost' v Tsentral'noy Azii v usloviyakh politicheskoy i sotsial'no-ekonomicheskoy transformatsii. Almaty, 2007.
«Energeticheskaya strategiya Rossii na period do 2030 goda», prinyataya pravitel'stvom 13 noyabrya 2009 g. // http://www.minenergo .gov.ru [20.12.2009]
lank S. The Strategic Implications of the Turkmenistan – China Pipeline Project // China Brief. 2010 (February 4). Vol. 10. № 3. R. 10-12.
Christofferson G. Multiple Levels of Sino-Russian Energy Relations // Eurasia’s Ascent in Energy and Geopolitics. Rivalry or Partnership for China, Russia and Central Asia? N. Swanstrom, R.E. Badeski (eds.). London – New York, 2012. R. 135-159.
Shambaugh D. China Engages Asia. Reshaping the Regional Order // International Security. 2004/05 (Winter). Vol. 29. № 3. R. 74;
Chung Chien-peng. The Shanghai Co-operation Organization:China’s Changing Influence in Central Asia // The China Quarterly. 2004. Vol. 180. R. 1007-1008.
Oldberg I. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization: Powerhouse or Paper Tiger? Stockholm, 2007. R. 28.
Manoylo A.V. Rol' strategiy upravlyaemogo khaosa v formirovanii novogo miroporyadka // Pravo i politika. – 2014. – № 5. – S. 638-651. DOI: 10.7256/1811-9018.2014.5.11816.
Manoylo A.V. Ukrainskiy krizis i «upravlyaemyy khaos»: sled «tsvetnykh revolyutsiy» Arabskoy Vesny. // Vlast'. 2014. №4. S. 24-28.
Manoylo A.V. Uregulirovanie i razreshenie mezhdunarodnykh konfliktov. //Mir i Politika. 2013. №10. S. 130-140.
Manoylo A.V. Spetsifika tsvetnykh revolyutsiy «arabskoy vesny». // Izvestiya Ural'sk. Federal'nogo Un-ta. Ser. 3. Obshchestvennye nauki. 2013. №3. S. 30-36.
Manoylo A.V. Geopoliticheskaya kartina sovremennogo mira. //Natsional'naya bezopasnost'/nota bene.-2013.-№5. – S. 149-155.
Kondakov S.A. Energeticheskaya strategiya Rossii na prostranstve SNG // Trendy i upravlenie. - 2013. - 3. - C. 108 - 115. DOI: 10.7256/2307-9118.2013.3.5274.
S. A. Sidorov Kontseptsiya natsional'noy bezopasnosti KNR
v kontekste mezhdunarodnoy i natsional'noy
bezopasnosti Rossii. // Pravo i politika. - 2011. - 9. - C. 1514 - 1524.
S. A. Nikolaev Politika SShA v Tsentral'noy Azii // Natsional'naya bezopasnost' / nota bene. - 2011. - 4. - C. 43 - 53.
S. A. Nikolaev Protivodeystvie vyzovam i ugrozam
mezhdunarodnoy i regional'noy
bezopasnosti v Tsentral'noy Azii // Natsional'naya bezopasnost' / nota bene. - 2011. - 6. - C. 46 - 54.
Kostyukhin A.A. Zapadnaya ekspertnaya otsenka vozmozhnostey
i perspektiv voennogo sotrudnichestva
s gosudarstvami Tsentral'noy Azii // Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. - 2013. - 1. - C. 55 - 79. DOI: 10.7256/2305-560X.2013.01.8.
S. A. Nikolaev Politika Rossii v Tsentral'no-Aziatskom regione // Natsional'naya bezopasnost' / nota bene. - 2011. - 5. - C. 15 - 24.
Karpovich O.G. Afganistan — 2014
vo vneshnepoliticheskoy strategii
SShA i Kanady // Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. - 2013. - 4. - C. 510 - 512. DOI: 10.7256/2305-560X.2013.4.7305.
O.G. Karpovich Osobennosti pozitsiy rossiyskikh
i amerikanskikh ekspertov po voprosam
demokratizatsii Blizhnego Vostoka // Politika i Obshchestvo. - 2013. - 5. - C. 563 - 567. DOI: 10.7256/1812-8696.2013.05.4.